[2003] UKSSCSC CP_2872_2003 (17 December 2003)
DECISION OF THE SOCIAL SECURITY COMMISSIONER
The background
The appeal tribunal's decision
The appeal to the Commissioner
The Commissioner's decision
The 1997 pension forecast
"The Pension Forecast computer system was programmed to project Additional Pension using the highest earnings factor recorded on your National Insurance account during the last five years prior to the forecast being issued.
Therefore when your forecast dated 4 February 1997 was issued. The projected amount of Additional Pension was calculated using the earnings factor for the 1995/96 tax year, which was £3016. Your actual earnings were less than those used in the projection, which has resulted in a reduction in the amount of Additional Pension payable."
The method described in the first of those paragraphs is inconsistent with the method which was said in the pension forecast of 4 February 1997 to have actually been used. And the amount stated for the claimant's 1995/96 earnings factor is in fact the qualifying earnings factor for that year. The claimant's gross earnings factor for 1995/96 was £20,649 and for 1996/97 was £21,636. Whether the actual earnings factor for 1996/97 was less (or even more) than what was projected when giving the forecast of 4 February 1997 is unclear.
Was the 1997 pension forecast correct when it was made?
The effect of revaluation of GMP by the claimant's scheme
The effect on overall income from the state and from the claimant's scheme
Possible further action
"You asked us other questions about your Retirement Pension. We tell you below what will happen if
- you stop working before you reach State Pension Age:
If you stop working on 31 March 1997 then this would not affect the amount of State Retirement Pension you can expect to get when you reach State Pension Age."
It could be argued that that statement was misleading in failing to take into account the potential effect of the revaluation rule adopted by a scheme for those leaving pensionable service.
"Please note that this forecast is only an ESTIMATE of your future entitlement to Retirement Pension. It could be affected by any future changes in legislation or by any changes in your personal circumstances. It is based on the information we hold when we prepare your forecast. If this information has been incorrectly recorded on your record, your entitlement may be different."
There was also a statement that the forecast was right if the claimant's date of birth was 7 January 1937 and he went on working and paying full-rate NI contributions. That last condition cannot sensibly be applied, as the forecast had already taken into account that he had enough qualifying years for a full basic pension and the estimates of payable additional pension were based only on work and contributions down to 5 April 1997. Then what appears to have affected the accuracy of the forecast is not any change in the claimant's personal circumstances or the effect of future changes in legislation. The effect appears to be the result of legislative rules in existence and of long standing in February 1997.
(Signed) J Mesher
Commissioner
Date: 17 December 2003