ON APPEAL FROM THE COUNTY COURT AT OXFORD
HH JUDGE HARRIS QC
Strand, London, WC2A 2LL |
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B e f o r e :
LADY JUSTICE RAFFERTY
and
LORD JUSTICE BRIGGS
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(1) Mr Mohamed Rizan (2) Mr Mohammed Rilshad |
Claimants/ Appellants |
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- and - |
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(1) Barry Hayes |
First Defendant |
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(2) Allianz Insurance Plc |
Second Defendant and Respondent |
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Ian Clarke (instructed by DAC Beachcroft Claims Limited ) for the Second Defendant/Respondent
Hearing dates : 11 May 2016
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Crown Copyright ©
Lord Justice Tomlinson :
"IT IS ORDERED THAT
(1) The Second Defendant do have permission to amend its Defence in the terms of the draft submitted by its counsel . . .
(2) The trial is adjourned to the first open date after 31 August 2012 (time estimate 2 days). The purpose of the adjournment is to give the Claimants the opportunity to trace the First Defendant now that it is a part of the Second Defendant's pleaded case that he was or may have been complicit in a 'staged' accident."
The Second Defendant was ordered to pay the costs of and occasioned by the adjournment in any event.
"Please confirm what speed your vehicle was approximately travelling at the time of the accident?"
To this request the First Claimant answered:
"I estimate that I was travelling at between 35-40 mph. The speed limit for the road is 40 mph."
The Second Claimant answered:
"I cannot remember. I would estimate that it was around 30-40 mph but I wasn't driving and so cannot be sure of this."
"6. As to paragraph 3 of the Particulars of Claim the Second Defendant avers as follows;
a. It is noted that the Claimants allege that the material accident occurred when the Claimants' vehicle was travelling along Park Road, Slough when the First Defendant came out of a side road, namely Church Lane, and collided with the Claimants' vehicle;
b. It is further noted that both Claimants in response to the Second Defendant's Part 18 requests for further information estimate that they were travelling at between 30 and 40 mph;
c. It is yet further noted that both Claimants in response to the Second Defendant's Part 18 requests for further information state that the damage to the Claimants' car was to the nearside.
d. It is averred that the accident damage claimed to have been incurred by the two vehicles involved in this alleged accident is inconsistent with the version of events alleged by the Claimants. The damage to the Claimants' car is inconsistent with the impact being between two moving vehicles. The Second Defendant relies upon the report of Mr Gordon Pearce of GBB Forensic Collision Investigation and Research dated 5 November 2008 and the addendum report dated 19 October 2010. In addition the Second Defendant relies upon the supplementary Report of Mr Pearce dated 18 August 2011 served with this pleading.
e. For the avoidance of doubt the Second Defendant avers that the vehicle in which the Claimants allege they were travelling must have been stationary at the time it came into contact with the Vauxhall Astra Van.
f. In the circumstances it is averred that either:
i. The alleged accident was staged and that the First Defendant was complicit; or
ii. That the driver of the BMW brought the vehicle to a halt in the path of the Vauxhall Astra Van without reason and intending to cause an accident.
g. In any event the Second Defendant contends that the Claimants' alleged accident was either staged and/or contrived and is thus fraudulent."
"7. It is further noted that the alleged accident occurred when the Claimants were travelling along Park Road and that it is alleged that the First Defendant emerged from Church Lane into the nearside of the Claimants' vehicle.
a. It is expressly averred that the junction including the sight lines of Church Lane and Park Road is such that at all material time if the accident occurred as is alleged by the Claimants, the Claimant driver would and/or could have seen the First Defendant's vehicle before it emerged from Church Lane and thereby have avoided the accident and/or have taken avoiding action;
b. It is noted that the First Claimant makes no mention of taking any avoiding action to prevent the alleged accident.
c. In the premises it is averred that it is inherently unlikely that the Claimants' vehicle would have collided with the First Defendant's vehicle in the manner alleged.
d. It is yet further averred that the junction including the sight lines of Church Lane and Park Road is such that at all material times if the accident occurred as alleged the First Defendant would have/or could have seen the Claimants' approaching vehicle and avoided the same.
e. In the premises it is averred that it is inherently unlikely that the First Defendant would have without explanation pulled out of a minor road directly into contact with the Claimants' vehicle when there was no or no good reason to do so."
Other matters were also pleaded which it was contended cast doubt upon the reliability of the two Claimants as accurate historians. I need not go into that.
"2.6 The photographs of the passenger side of the BMW show vertical marks within the damage. No significant horizontal marks are apparent. In a collision in which the front of the van contacts the passenger side of a car travelling at 35 mph to 40 mph, we would certainly expect to see substantial horizontal marks and damage extending along the side of the BMW.
2.7 The width of the damage to the side of the BMW matches the width of the front of the van. If the BMW was moving at the speed claimed or even at any other significant speed, we would have expected the width of the damage to be substantially greater than the width of the van.
2.8 Mr Pearce has concluded that the BMW must have been stationary at the time of the collision. Mr Greatrix, on the balance of probability, agrees.
2.9 If the relative speed of the BMW to the front of the van was almost zero, that too would explain the absence of any substantial horizontal marks and damage. However, the damage sustained by the front of the van is biased to its nearside such that the angle of the van was directed more towards the rear of the BMW than to its front. That is inconsistent with the BMW moving at speed across the front of the van as claimed. It is also inconsistent with the van driver intending to turn left out of the junction.
2.10 Mr Greatrix suggests that the BMW was brought to a halt from 35 mph to 40 mph because Mr Rizan realised that the van was not likely to stop at its give way lines."
"The speed referred to by the First and Second Claimants within their Part 18 Replies was given in relation to the estimated speed the First Claimant's vehicle was travelling at along Park Road when the accident occurred – not the speed at which the First Claimant's vehicle was travelling at the time of the actual impact. Should the Second Defendants have required the Claimants to confirm the speed at which their vehicle was travelling at (sic) when the impact actually occurred then the Claimants aver that this should have been raised as a specific question within the Part 18 Request for Further Information. It is the Claimants case that that the First Claimant braked at the time of realisation that the First Defendant's vehicle was not going to stop at the give way markings. The Claimants are in agreement that the speed of their vehicle at the time of actual impact would have been slow or almost stationary however, they do not agree that their vehicle was completely stationary. Seat belt injuries caused by the hard braking of their vehicle is evidenced within the First and Second Claimants' GP records."
"The Claimants be given permission to rely on the witness statement of Mr Barry Hayes dated 04 September 2011, with the Court having refused permission to the Claimants to adduce hearsay evidence from the First Defendant Mr Barry Hayes."
04 September 2011 is an obvious error for 04 September 2012. I can surmise that the Claimants may have failed in their attempt to introduce Mr Hayes' witness statement as hearsay evidence in reliance upon the provisions of the Civil Evidence Act 1995 and CPR 33 because they were unable to give a reason why Mr Hayes would not be called to give oral evidence at the trial.
"4. IAI were instructed to attend upon the property of the First Defendant, Mr Barry Hayes at 9 Nixey Close, Slough, SL1 1NG in order to explain that he had to attend trial on 06 and 07 December 2012 at Reading County Court and/or he had to provide the Court with his medical records and a letter from his GP confirming that he was medically unfit to attend court.
5. I attended Mr Hayes' property during the evening of Friday 23 November 2012. Whilst I could hear movement within the property, the door to his property was not answered. I telephoned his mobile telephone however, there was no answer. I posted a letter with my contact details on it through his letter box asking that he telephone me as soon as possible. I also phoned the number on the file for Mr Hayes' carer, without success.
6. I then knocked on his neighbours' properties. I was unable to obtain the names of the people who I was speaking to but I was informed that he was a recluse who very rarely left the house. I was told that he had an alcohol dependency issue.
7. At 19.21 hours on Friday 23 November 2012, I received a telephone call from a gentleman who introduced himself as Steve Ferley. He confirmed that he was a close friend of Mr Barry Hayes. He confirmed that Easthams Solicitors Limited had written to Barry Hayes directly enclosing authorities which would allow Mr Hayes' GP to disclose medical records to them. Mr Ferley assured me that he would get Mr Hayes and his General Practitioner to sign the documents and would return them to Easthams Solicitors Limited.
8. It was confirmed by Mr Ferley that Mr Hayes was very ill and would not be able to attend court. He stated that Mr Hayes had prostrate (sic) Cancer.
9. I have had no direct contact from Mr Barry Hayes despite my best efforts. I confirm that I have reported back to Easthams Solicitors Limited."
Quite on what basis Mr Hayes could have been told he had to attend court I am unsure. Efforts to obtain confirmation from Mr Hayes' GP that he was unfit to attend court in December 2012 were unavailing. His attending GP was absent on leave and other doctors in the practice were unwilling to comment. Ultimately on 3 October 2013 a letter was obtained from the partnership saying that Mr Hayes had recently undergone major cancer surgery and was at that stage unable to travel from Slough to Reading for two consecutive days in order to be cross-examined at trial. That however is of no relevance to the position either in December 2012 or May 2014 when the trial ultimately took place in Oxford.
"2. I was instructed by the solicitors of the Second Defendant, to attend upon and to take a witness statement from their policyholder BARRY HAYES who had been traced to an address in Slough – 9 Nixey Close SL1 1NG.
3. I first called here on the 22 November 2012 and found this to be a small local authority first floor flat but nobody was at home. A neighbour told me that the occupant Mr Hayes went out most mornings. I left my usual request for contact from Mr Hayes but received no response.
4. I called back on 26 November 2012 and again found nobody at home. I waited close by but nobody came in or out and again I left a card.
5. I subsequently received a call from an individual with an Asian accent by name of IMRAN who told me he would help fix up an appointment on behalf of Mr Hayes.
6. I called by appointment to see Mr Hayes at his home, a first floor flat, on 28 November 2012.
7. When I arrived I noticed that 2 young males aged 25-30 – one of Asian appearance the other of a dark skinned appearance were leaving the flat premises. Mr Hayes was to later tell me they had visited his flat just prior to my appointed time but he refused to tell me why they had been there or the purpose of their visit. He denied they had any involvement concerning his alleged accident but I remained concerned about their attendance at the premises. He said they were "just mates" but they seemed to me to be from a different social and cultural background.
8. He agreed to give me a statement regarding his accident after I had explained to him the purpose of my visit. I carefully explained to him he was a separate party to this action and that he was signing an important legal document with serious consequences for providing incorrect information.
9. He allowed me to take his photograph which I exhibit as DW1.
10. He confirmed he was in a fit state to give a statement – to me he appeared coherent and he had no difficulty in hearing at all.
11. He agreed to assist where he could but claimed to be suffering from a poor memory.
12. Whilst I was with Mr Hayes he was accompanied by his friend Mr Steve Fearnley.
13. I obtained a statement from Mr Hayes which I exhibit as DW2 but found his memory loss to be very selective and I was not convinced his memory was the issue with the lack of facts available. As questions were put to him Mr Hayes swore when he did not appear to have an answer.
14. Eventually he told me that my presence was annoying him and he therefore wished to discontinue before I had completed asking him all the questions which would normally arise from a matter such as this.
15. Whilst I was with him he also provided me with a sketch plan of the accident which I exhibit as DW3. When asked he was unable to draw anything regarding the finishing positions of the vehicles and was also vague in his statement concerning the aftermath of the accident.
16. He confirmed under no circumstances was he prepared to go to court to give his evidence. He told me that his currently undiagnosed prostate problems made it impossible for him to travel to court. He had not had full tests so this reason which had not been mentioned to the previous investigators was seemingly of recent origin.
17. I found this statement regarding his illness to be at odds with him being away from the flat when I had called on previous occasions – during my discussion with him he told me he had been looking after Mr Fearnley at his home as Mr Fearnley had recently undergone a knee operation.
18. I suggested to him that the visit to court would be no more arduous but he told me this whole case was nothing to do with him and would not be attending.
19. I can also advise that whilst I was taking Mr Hayes statement his friend Mr Fearnley remarked that Mr Hayes had never had an accident in the van. At that point Mr Hayes laughed off the remark and continued to maintain the accident had occurred.
20. I pointed out the fact that he would have to sign a statement of truth about this but he shrugged his shoulders and told me it was not his problem.
21. Subsequent to that visit to Mr Hayes I undertook some research on the purpose of his journey – an alleged trip at night to drop a friend off at some shops in the village of Stoke Poges to the north of Slough. There was to the best of my knowledge no row of shops in Stoke Poges and I attach a web page from the local council confirming this DW4."
"1. This is a claim for damages for personal injury and consequential loss brought by Messrs Mohamed Rizan and Mohamed Wilshad (who are I think gentlemen of Tamil origin, I am not sure whether Indian or Sri Lankan) who have been in England for quite some time and who both describe themselves as part-time taxi drivers.
2. On 17th September 2008 (i.e. getting on for six years ago), the contention is that there was a collision between a BMW 7 Series motor car, which was being driven by the First Claimant, and an Astra Van driven by Mr Hayes who is the First Defendant. It should be said that Mr Hayes has played no part in this trial and the interests of the Allianz Insurance Company have been dealt with by it becoming a party and dealing with the Claimants' claim itself.
3. Efforts were made, it appears, to get Mr Hayes to come to Court; he was visited by an Inquiry Agent, Mr Walton, a Claims Investigator, who took a statement from him. Another statement had been taken from him, but he has stoutly resisted the temptation to come to Court to give evidence.
4. What the Claimant says happened, broadly speaking, is that he was driving along a road called Park Road, which seems to be something of a rural road although running between Beaconsfield and Slough. It was, it appears, in the evening at about 8pm. The BMW was going towards Slough and an Astra Van, which it is said was driven by the First Defendant, came down Church Lane from the left of the BMW. The situation is illustrated in many plans and photographs. It emerged without stopping, colliding with the side of the BMW.
5. The reading of the Statement of Claim, an account given in the medical report, the Further and Better Particulars and the Claimant's own statement give no indication whatever that the car being driven by the First Claimant was doing anything other than driving at 30 to 40 mph at the time of the accident, as it passed the mouth of Church Lane. If it was doing that, it is inconceivable that the damage which has been seen by the engineer instructed by the Defendant could have occurred then, because the damage to the BMW was simply indentations to both the doors on the nearside and there was no, as it were, lateral damage before or after these areas of indentations.
6. Both of the engineers in a joint statement agreed:
"The photographs of the passenger side of the BMW show vertical marks within the damage. No horizontal marks are apparent. In a collision in which the front of a van contacts the passenger side of a car travelling at 35 to 40mph, we would certainly expect to see substantial horizontal marks and damage extending alongside of the car, in this case the BMW. The width of the damage to the side of the BMW matches the width of the front of the van".
Both experts concluded that, on the balance of probability, the car must have been stationary at the time of impact.
7. This the Claimant attempts to deal with when he comes to give evidence today by saying that he was indeed stationary at the time. He had seen this car coming and braked as hard as he could. His car (he said) was stopped at the point of the impact in the middle of the junction and he was hit on the left-hand passenger side.
8. There are difficulties about that from the point of view of stopping distance and reaction times and visibility, into which it is probably not necessary for me to go in any details save that it would have been extremely marginal, if the speed had been anything above 30mph, to have been able to stop from 35mph or so before the point of impact. But the significant point is that nowhere in the Letter before Action, the Statement of Claim, the account given to the Doctor or in the Claimants' own statement or in the Further and Better Particulars, was it thought appropriate for Mr Rizan to explain what he has now explained; that he had actually stopped.
9. One should make some slight allowance for language in this case; Mr Rizan is not a native English speaker, but his English is certainly perfectly serviceable and although a translator or interpreter was engaged, her services were not actually needed. I am quite satisfied that had Mr Rizan been saying all along that he braked as hard as he could and stopped and then been hit, that would have been reflected in the papers. What seems to have happened is that once it was appreciated that the engineering evidence was such that his case simply could not be right on the basis that it was being advanced, then the case altered.
10. Curiously enough, his passenger did not alter his evidence and he maintained that the car was still going at 35mph or 40mph, at the time of the accident. He did so both in Further and Better Particulars and in evidence. Not, it should be said, that one has the greatest of confidence in the evidence given by the Second Claimant since he had apparently been involved in some ten motor car collisions between August 2007 and March 2011, an incidence of accidents which he had taken some steps to avoid revealing when asked about.
11. The case had to proceed without any evidence being given by Mr Hayes, because he did not come. But Mr Hayes' statements were put before the Court in the form of exhibits to what Mr Walton said. Mr Hayes in his statement said that he was alone in his van, he was dropping off a friend of a friend, but did not know his name, and he thinks he:
"...sort of slipped off the brake. I wasn't taking enough attention",
And then said:
"The Claimant's car was going from my right to my left, hard to tell the speed in the dark"
Incidentally, the Claimant said it was not dark:
"He was going at 30 or 40 mph, something like that. Basically, he didn't have a chance to stop as I went straight out at him".
So he was giving an account which, on the face of it, was also completely inconsistent with the evidence given by the two engineers who were in agreement with each other.
12. Curiously, when the Inquiry Agent Mr Walton (who seemed a good quality witness) had gone to take a statement from Mr Hayes, he discovered two gentlemen of Indian appearance just leaving his house. The explanation given by Mr Hayes about that when asked was:
"The two lads here earlier were just mates. One was Imran; I don't know the other one".
Perhaps a little odd that he had a mate whose name he did not know. It follows from this that one can have no confidence whatsoever in anything that Mr Hayes' is reported as having said. The Second Claimant's account of the accident taking place at 30 to 35mph must be wrong because it is inconsistent with the engineering evidence, and the Claimant's final account of the accident taking place while he was stationary is difficult to believe, because it is completely inconsistent with every indication that he had given beforehand.
13. In those circumstances, this is a case in which I cannot possibly be satisfied that the account given by the Claimant is a satisfactory account and in those circumstances this claim fails.
14. It is perhaps right to observe that it has, as one might expect perhaps given the antiquity of this case, come to trial before. On 5th July 2012 it appears that a trial started. It is not quite clear what happened, but the Defendants I think (probably the Second Defendants) said that they wanted to allege fraud and for some reason the whole trial was abandoned in order to enable this to be done and for further investigations to take place. It has taken getting on two years since then for this case to get back before the Court. It is a wholly unsatisfactory piece of litigation.
15. In those circumstances, I do not need to make any findings about what amount I would have awarded had I given the Claimant damages for the whiplash injuries, which both contended that they had. It should be observed that there had been inconsistencies in describing the symptoms, both by the First Claimant and by the Second Claimant; the First Claimant, for example, saying the he told the GP very soon after that he had pain in his right shoulder, but he told the examining specialist that he had pain in the left shoulder, immediately after the accident. Anyway, I do not propose to assess damages, save to say they would have been modest.
16. There is a car hire claim for £17,272, because the Claimant immediately contacted a claims organisation and was equipped with a Mercedes car at something over £200 a day, which he kept for 73 days, although it was for far less than that time that he was standing out of pocket. He received a cheque, as I understand it on his own evidence, on 10th October of that year for the full pre-accident value of the car.
17. It follows that there will be judgment for the Defendant."
"MR CLARKE: Could I just clarify…
HHJ HARRIS QC: Do you want me to say whether or not I find positively that there is fraud here? I think more likely than not. Whether I am satisfied on the criminal burden of proof is perhaps more material since it is akin to a criminal burden of proof. A very high standard of proof is needed in civil proceedings in order to establish fraud. If it were necessary to do so, which it isn't, I would find that this was a fraudulent claim. Now, what's the costs position?"
"16. After we had exchanged our details the Defendant (Mr Hayes) left the scene of the accident. He was keen to leave because his radiator was leaking and he wasn't sure how much longer his car would work.
17. I started to drive off but my car was making strange noises so I stopped and parked the car. Mohammed Rilshad told me he knew of a local accident management company who could recover my car and sort out a claim. I called them and they made arrangements to come and recover my car. After my car had been recovered I flagged down a passing taxi and went home."
"a. Even on the assumption that the Learned Judge did not accept the first appellant's account of precisely how the collision occurred, then, absent a finding of fraud, the evidence was sufficient to justify a finding, on a balance of probabilities, that Mr. Rizan's vehicle had been damaged as a result of the negligent driving of Mr. Hayes.
b. Absent a finding of fraud the evidence was to the effect (i) that a collision had indeed taken place, (ii) that it occurred while the first appellant had been driving his car on what was a comparatively major road, and (iii) that it occurred because the respondent had driven his car out of a comparatively minor intersection into a collision with the first appellant's vehicle.
c. On those facts, and absent a finding of fraud, the possibility that the collision was caused by the negligence of the first respondent was more likely than any other possibility; indeed it is submitted that it is the only conclusion which could, on a balance of probabilities, properly have been reached.
d. Absent a finding of fraud, the fact that a question might have arisen, by way of the engineers' reports, as to the precise details of what had happened, would not affect that conclusion.
e. Accordingly, it is submitted that a dismissal of the claim without a finding of fraud was incorrect, as well as artificial in the circumstances of this case."
Discussion
"When assessing the probabilities the court will have in mind as a factor, to whatever extent is appropriate in the particular case, that the more serious the allegation the less likely it is that the event occurred and, hence, the stronger should be the evidence before the court concludes that the allegation is established on the balance of probability. . . .
Although the result is much the same, this does not mean that where a serious allegation is in issue the standard of proof required is higher. It means only that the inherent probability or improbability of an event is itself a matter to be taken into account when weighing the probabilities and deciding whether, on balance, the event occurred. The more improbable the event, the stronger must be the evidence that it did occur before, on the balance of probability, its occurrence will be established. Ungoed-Thomas J expressed this neatly in In re Dellow's Will Trusts [1964] 1 WLR 451, 455: The more serious the allegation the more cogent is the evidence required to overcome the unlikelihood of what is alleged and thus to prove it.""
"My Lords, the result of underwriters putting forward this alternative cause of the ship's loss was to lead Bingham J. into approaching the decision which he had to make as being a simple choice between the cause of loss relied on by the shipowners and the alternative cause of loss put forward by underwriters. Although he had in an earlier part of his judgment referred expressly to the observations with regard to burden of proof made by Scrutton L.J. in La Compania Martiartu v. Royal Exchange Assurance Corporation [1923] 1 K.B. 650, 657, which I quoted earlier, he does not seem, when he came later in his judgment to the point of actual decision, to have given any consideration at all to the third possible solution to the case contemplated in those observations. That third possible solution would have been to say that he was left in doubt as to the proximate cause of the ship's loss, and that, in those circumstances, the shipowners' actions should be dismissed on the simple ground that they had not discharged the burden of proof which lay upon them.
. . .
The passages which I have quoted from Bingham J.'s judgment amply support the observations about his approach to the case which I made earlier. These observations were to the effect that he regarded himself as compelled to make a choice between the shipowners' submarine theory on the one hand and underwriters' wear and tear theory on the other, and he failed to keep in mind that a third alternative, that the shipowners had failed to discharge the burden of proof which lay on them, was open to him.
As regards the shipowners' submarine theory, Bingham J. stated in terms that he regarded it as extremely improbable, a view with which I think it unlikely that any of Your Lordships will quarrel. As regards underwriters' wear and tear theory, it was contended by counsel for the shipowners that Bingham J. had ruled it out as impossible. The language used by him in different places is, however, ambivalent, and I think that it would be more accurate to say that he regarded the wear and tear theory not as impossible, but as one in respect of which any mechanism by which it could have operated was in doubt.
My Lords, the late Sir Arthur Conan Doyle in his book The Sign of Four, describes his hero, Mr. Sherlock Holmes, as saying to the latter's friend, Dr. Watson: "How often have I said to You that, when You have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth?" It is, no doubt, on the basis of this well-known but unjudicial dictum that Bingham J. decided to accept the shipowners' submarine theory, even though he regarded it, for seven cogent reasons, as extremely improbable.
In my view there are three reasons why it is inappropriate to apply the dictum of Mr. Sherlock Holmes, to which I have just referred, to the process of fact-finding which a judge of first instance has to perform at the conclusion of a case of the kind here concerned.
The first reason is one which I have already sought to emphasise as being of great importance, namely, that the judge is not bound always to make a finding one way or the other with regard to the facts averred by the parties. He has open to him the third alternative of saying that the party on whom the burden of proof lies in relation to any averment made by him has failed to discharge that burden. No judge likes to decide cases on burden of proof if he can legitimately avoid having to do so. There are cases, however, in which, owing to the unsatisfactory state of the evidence or otherwise, deciding on the burden of proof is the only just course for him to take.
The second reason is that the dictum can only apply when all relevant facts are known, so that all possible explanations, except a single extremely improbable one, can properly be eliminated. That state of affairs does not exist in the present case: to take but one example, the ship sank in such deep water that a diver's examination of the nature of the aperture, which might well have thrown light on its cause, could not be carried out.
The third reason is that the legal concept of proof of a case on a balance of probabilities must be applied with common sense. It requires a judge of first instance, before he finds that a particular event occurred, to be satisfied on the evidence that it is more likely to have occurred than not. If such a judge concludes, on a whole series of cogent grounds, that the occurrence of an event is extremely improbable, a finding by him that it is nevertheless more likely to have occurred than not, does not accord with common sense. This is especially so when it is open to the judge to say simply that the evidence leaves him in doubt whether the event occurred or not, and that the party on whom the burden of proving that the event occurred lies has therefore failed to discharge such burden.
In my opinion Bingham J. adopted an erroneous approach to this case by regarding himself as compelled to choose between two theories, both of which he regarded as extremely improbable, or one of which he regarded as extremely improbable and the other of which he regarded as virtually impossible. He should have borne in mind, and considered carefully in his judgment, the third alternative which was open to him, namely, that the evidence left him in doubt as to the cause of the aperture in the ship's hull, and that, in these circumstances, the shipowners had failed to discharge the burden of proof which was on them."
"In other cases, there will be continuing good sense in the House of Lords' reminder to fact-finders in Rhesa Shipping Co SA v Edmunds (The "Popi M") [1985] 1 WLR 948 that it is not their duty to reach conclusions of fact, one way or the other, in every case. There are cases where, as a matter of justice and policy, a court should say that the evidence adduced (whatever its type) is too weak to prove anything to an appropriate standard, so that the claim should fail."
". . . your evidence has been that at the time of the accident you were travelling at 30 miles an hour. At the time of the impact, when the two vehicles touched, collided, what speed were you travelling then?"
To which his answer was:
"There's no travelling, the car stopped at zero speed. The car at the moment the car hit everything stopped. All I can see was the car on the left hand side, this car's there, that's all I can see."
I do not agree that that answer assists the Claimants. It is not an answer to the effect that the BMW had braked in anticipation of an impact and that by the time of the impact the car was stationary. We must also remember that the judge saw and heard the witnesses give their evidence, an advantage denied to us. I have already set out, at paragraph 10 above, how this point about speed before impact and speed at impact was sought to be rationalised by the Claimants in their Reply, which was a precursor to how the First Claimant at any rate sought to put it in evidence at trial. I find the attempted rationalisation acutely unconvincing, and that is plainly how it struck the judge, even after he had made due allowance for English not being the First Claimant's native tongue.
Lady Justice Rafferty :
Lord Justice Briggs :