COURT OF APPEAL (CIVIL DIVISION)
ON APPEAL FROM HIGH COURT, QUEENS BENCH DIVISION,
ADMINISTRATIVE COURT
MR JUSTICE PITCHFORD
CO/5036/2009
Strand, London, WC2A 2LL |
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B e f o r e :
LORD JUSTICE CARNWATH
and
LORD JUSTICE STANLEY BURNTON
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BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS PLC |
Appellant |
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- and - |
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THE CITY OF WAKEFIELD METROPOLITAN DISTRICT COUNCIL & ANR |
Respondents |
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Vincent Fraser QC (instructed by The City of Wakefield Metropolitan District Council) for the Respondents
Hearing date : 6th July, 2010
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LORD JUSTICE CARNWATH :
Background
"b. All proposals for additional housing, including those for a mix of uses, above identified size thresholds must make provision for sufficient affordable housing to meet identified needs. Unless otherwise agreed with the Council, affordable dwellings should be provided on the application site and 30% of new dwellings on developments across the district which meet the following thresholds should be dwellings which can be defined as affordable:
i. where the proposal is for 15 or more dwellings, or is on a site of 0.5 hectares or more in area, and is within an urban area or local service centre as defined in the settlement hierarchy;
ii. where the proposal is for 6 or more dwellings, or is on a site of 0.2 hectares or more, and is within a village as defined in the settlement hierarchy.
...
The actual amount of affordable housing to be provided is a matter for negotiation at the time of a planning application, having regard to any abnormal costs, economic viability and other requirements associated with the development. All but the smallest sites should contribute to the provision of affordable housing."
"If the target for affordable housing provided in the Core Strategy is set unrealistically high, developers will be discouraged from bringing forward proposals and social housing needs will not be adequately addressed. The strategy depends upon profitable development, and profitable development depends in large measure upon buoyant land values. If prospective development land is unprofitable because it is 'blighted' by a social housing burden it is less likely that the land will be sold for development and the strategy may, in consequence, fail to bear its intended fruit. If, on the other hand, the affordable housing target is set too low to address need, the Council will fail to deliver national policy. It was Wakefield's view that it had not been sufficiently aggressive in pursuit of affordable housing provision in its District during the previous five years under its existing UDP. At the time when its Core Strategy (requiring at least 30% affordable housing with an 80/20 split) was in preparation market conditions were favourable. By the time the policy was submitted to the Inspector the market had slumped and no new housing was being constructed." (para 16)
Statutory and policy framework
i) The authority must have regard among other things to:a) national policies and advice contained in guidance issued by the Secretary of State andb) the Regional Spatial Strategy ("RSS") for the region in which the authority is situated (s 19(2)).ii) The Core Strategy must be in "general conformity with" the Regional Spatial Strategy (s 24 (1)).
iii) It must contain a reasoned justification of the policies (reg 13(1)).
iv) Before it is adopted it must be submitted for independent examination by a planning inspector on behalf of the Secretary of State, to determine (inter alia) whether it satisfies these requirements and "whether it is sound " (s 20(5)).
v) Any person who makes representations seeking to change the plan must be given an opportunity to appear before and be heard by the inspector (s 20(6)).
vi) The inspector must make recommendations and give reasons for those recommendations (s 20(7)).
vii) The authority can only adopt the strategy, whether as originally prepared or with modifications, in accordance with recommendations of the inspector (s 23).
"... this is not a traditional planning inquiry. It is, as its title suggests, an examination. Inspectors are encouraged to make it relatively informal, and it can be, and frequently is, I understand, carried out by means of discussion. Although formal evidence can no doubt be given and tested if the Inspector decides that that is essential for the purpose of reaching the necessary result, that would be rare, and generally speaking it is dealt with on the basis of written documents being presented, and then discussion between the interested parties and the Inspector based upon those written documents." (Persimmon Homes (North East) Ltd v Blyth Valley BC [2008] EWHC 1258 (Admin) para 49)
"4.36 Core strategies must be justifiable: they must be:
- founded on a robust and credible evidence base; and
- the most appropriate strategy when considered against the reasonable alternatives."
By way of explanation of the latter point, the statement adds:
"Alternatives
4.38 The ability to demonstrate that the plan is the most appropriate when considered against reasonable alternatives delivers confidence in the strategy. It requires the local planning authority to seek out and evaluate reasonable alternatives promoted by themselves and others to ensure that they bring forward those alternatives which they consider the LPA should evaluate as part of the plan-making process..."
"4.44 Core strategies must be effective: this means they must be:
- deliverable;
- flexible; and
- able to be monitored."
Each of these concepts is further explained in the succeeding paragraphs.
"A The Region needs to increase its provision of affordable housing. Plans, strategies, programmes and investment decisions should ensure the provision of affordable housing to address the needs of local communities.
B LDFs should set targets for the amount of affordable housing to be provided. Provisional estimates of the proportion of new housing that may need to be affordable are as follows:
• Over 40% in North Yorkshire districts and the East Riding of Yorkshire
• 30-40% in Kirklees, Leeds, Wakefield and Sheffield
• Up to 30% in other parts of South and West Yorkshire, Hull, North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire."
Preparation of Wakefield's Core Strategy
"All proposals for additional housing, including those for a mix of uses, above identified size thresholds must make provision for sufficient affordable housing to meet identified needs. At least 30% of new dwellings on developments across the district which meet the thresholds should be dwellings which can be defined as affordable, with a split of approximately 80% social rented and 20% intermediate tenure..."
"DTZ set about creating models of hypothetical sites for new build development, of a sufficient size to sustain affordable homes, in five geographical areas of Wakefield District known to vary considerably in land value and profitability. Having selected the sites DTZ applied a variety of assumptions as to the size of the development, building and development costs, a variable percentage of affordable housing and a variable split between social and intermediate housing. The object was to test what revenues could be generated across the district when applying the common assumptions to each site. DTZ took as its starting point its experience that land was unlikely to be brought forward for development when the "internal rate of return" ('IRR') was lower than 20% for small sites (under 50 units) and 23% for larger sites (over 50 units). DTZ was therefore engaged in an exercise of discovering which categories of, and how many, sites in the District were capable of sustaining a percentage of affordable housing while at the same time providing the developer with an acceptable return on investment." (para 18)
"... over the course of the Core Strategy and the life of any affordable housing policy it is recommended to expect, having regard to the cyclical nature of the housing market, that the market conditions will vary significantly. WMDC need to ensure that any policy they put in place is flexible enough to deal with these changes in market conditions.
... Scenarios to reflect the height of the recent market in early 2007 show that 30% affordable housing could be viably delivered at 50/50 split between social rented and intermediate tenures. This is the highest level of affordable housing which has been deemed viable in all the modelling work which has been undertaken."
"The economic viability assessment undertaken has demonstrated that a range of between 0% and 30% affordable housing can be delivered across the district depending on market cycles/variables and affordable housing tenure splits..." (para 7.7)
"The results... show that any policy put in place by WMDC for the delivery of affordable housing needs to be flexible and have built in trigger points which enable more affordable housing to be delivered as the market improves to more normal market conditions." (para 7.8)
"Not agreed. First, the 30% 'requirement' should be a target. Second, the SHMA Economic Viability Appraisal demonstrates that the 30% requirement is inappropriate and is unlikely to be appropriate in the foreseeable future."
Item 12 "Approach to economic viability (ie IRR)" was said to be "agreed". Item 18 "Results of the Economic Viability Modelling Exercise" was said to be "Agreed but the results understate the real position".
"11.4 What evidence is there to support the 30% affordable housing provision threshold and the tenure split thresholds contained in the Policy CS6? Are these RSS and PPS 3 compliant? If not what is the local justification for deviation?
...
11.10 Should the policy be more flexible to take into account site by site viability considerations?"
"The council considers that in strong market conditions the affordable housing policy is achievable. It is clear from the economic viability evidence, however, that a degree of flexibility is required within the policy to accommodate different market conditions. As these conditions are continually changing the Council does not consider that it is possible or appropriate to have varying thresholds and affordable housing proportions. Other parts of the evidence base, such as affordable housing need, indicate that the proportions should be higher than 30%, for example. However, given the need to reflect historic rates of affordable housing provision and the results of the economic viability appraisal, Policy CS6 criterion (b) should be amended such that "at least" is deleted from the start of the second sentence..."
Turley Associates also submitted a response, in which they accepted DTZ's methodology, but questioned their assumed costs for certain items, and described their appraisal as "if anything… a best case scenario", resting on "a somewhat contived set of assumptions unlikely ever to be realised in the future".
"To provide necessary flexibility, further text should be added to the Policy that permits negotiation on a site by site basis, to take account of any abnormal costs, economic viability and other requirements associated with the development... in addition, to provide certainty, to reflect poor historic rates of affordable housing delivery and the results of the economic viability appraisals, conclude that criterion (b) of Policy CS6 should be amended by deleting the 'at least' prefix to the 30% target..."
"To summarise, I conclude that the affordable housing policies... are generally sound. They are informed by robust and credible evidence based on methodologies that accord with national guidance prevailing at the time they were undertaken, and they have included key stakeholders in their preparation. The Policies are consistent with national and regional planning policy. Their thresholds, targets and approach represent the most appropriate and flexible policy options taking into account the evidence, provided that they are amended in the ways I recommend above." (para 3.3.30).
The issues before the judge
i) The mandatory requirement in policy CS6, that "all proposals" on qualifying sites "must" make provision for sufficient affordable housing to meet identified needs, ignored the DTZ conclusion that in current market conditions 0% affordable housing was viable, and that even in the most favourable market conditions only two thirds of the sites in the District could produce affordable housing (para 28).ii) A target of 30% throughout the 17 year duration of the Strategy was not justified by the DTZ study. There were no "trigger points" as recommended by DTZ. It was not open to the inspector to rely on the absence of evidence to conclude that the market would recover over any particular time period, or to its previous levels.
iii) In consequence the policy did not comply with the guidance in PPS 12, in that:
a) The policy was not "justified" in that it was not founded on the EVA;b) The EVA was not itself "robust and credible evidence" since it made unwarranted assumptions with which the Inspector failed to deal in her reasons;c) The policy was not formulated upon a judgement which of the available alternatives was the most appropriate. No attempt was made to test DTZ's advice that triggers should be included to aid flexibility.d) The policy was demonstrably ineffective because it could not be delivered.iv) Reliance was placed on the judgment of Collins J in Persimmon Homes (North East) Ltd v. Blyth Valley Borough Council [2008] EWHC 1258 (Admin) (upheld on appeal), where a similar Core Strategy was quashed because the council had adopted a target of 30% affordable housing, without, as the judge found, giving consideration to the issue of economic viability. Collins J had made suggestions as to what the inspector could have done in the absence of adequate economic evidence:
"He could perhaps have substituted a provision which made it clear that the appropriate percentage should be considered on each application, and that it should be as high as reasonably possible, or he could have decided to adjourn the examination to receive evidence relating to that issue and to obtain a reliable figure." (para 71)v) The Inspector was wrong to treat the RSS as necessarily requiring a percentage for affordable housing in the range 30-40%. The RSS recognised that there would be differences in requirements within districts. She made no attempt to analyse and reflect those differences in the target.
vi) The Inspector failed to deal adequately in her reasons with the objections taken by the claimant to the assumptions made in DTZ's report and she failed to explain why she had rejected the advice to include "triggers" within policy CS6.
vii) Barratt were substantially prejudiced because the imposition of an unachievable target renders development economically unviable, and as a result they are unable to make commercial decisions about the strategy for their land holdings in the Wakefield area.
"69. It does not seem to me that the Inspector was required, in the process which took place, to make her own judgement what should have been the assumptions which educated the EVA modelling exercise. It was not her task to adjudicate upon differences of view between developers. DTZ had recorded at paragraph 3.39 of its report that build costs at the base line in August 2008 were a calculated average taken from a national database, BCIS5, after applying a local index for the Wakefield area. Prospective reduction in build costs was a matter of opinion based on experience. The Inspector was required to make a decision whether DTZ, in performing its modelling exercise, (1) had taken proper account of available evidence and the views of stakeholders generally, and (2) if so, whether the report provided her with a robust and credible evidence base. Having led the meeting on 9 December 2008 and listened to Mr Roebuck's presentation, the Inspector was, in my judgement, entitled to conclude that DTZ had, in formulating its advice, properly considered the available evidence and, accordingly, that the EVA constituted robust and credible evidence.
70. I accept that while the process of policy making was not the same as that which attended a planning appeal, the Inspector was required to give in her report intelligible and adequate reasons for her conclusions on the 'principal important controversial issues'. The detail of contributions by developers to the modelling process would not, in my opinion, constitute principal and important controversial issues unless the Inspector had reason to think that those details were at risk of undermining the whole exercise. Since the meeting of 9 December 2008 had not revealed any such reason the Inspector was not required to deal with it. It was not, in my judgement, necessary for the Inspector to descend to the detail of recording Barratt's written comments on the DTZ's methodology and DTZ's response to those comments; nor was it necessary for her to explain why she accepted DTZ's opinion that the assumptions on which the modelling exercise was based were reasonable. Apart from acknowledging the report, a substantial and impressive piece of work which spoke for itself, it was enough for her to record the process by which the evidence had been gathered and considered in meetings and led her to conclude that the evidence base was sound."
"83. It follows that in my opinion the policy adopted by Wakefield did pay due regard to national policy and the relevant Regional Spatial Strategy. The policy as adopted set a justifiable target for sites above a workable threshold limit. It recognised, however, that the target was achievable only in certain economic conditions. Application of the policy that affordable housing should be provided where possible meant that provision must depend upon the exigencies both of the site and of market conditions at the time the application for permission was made. The policy provided the flexibility required by making the target subject to negotiation. The alternative, namely to provide stepped percentages based upon variable economic conditions, was unworkable and, in my view doomed to failure because of the difficulties of accurate prediction and definition. Having regard to the need for affordable housing this was the best the Inspector could do in unusual and unstable economic times. It is an undeniable consequence that, while national policy wished to provide both improved targets to deliver affordable housing and developers with the requisite degree of certainty for the purposes of planning development, current economic conditions have, at least for the time being, undermined policy. However, I cannot conclude that the solution adopted was irrational."
The issues in the appeal
i) (Ground 2) The judge should have held that CS6 was unlawful because the 30% starting point was flawed, and could not be saved by provision for negotiation on a site by site basis (following Collins J in Persimmon Homes (above)).ii) (Ground 1) The judge was wrong in interpreting the policy as not containing a mandatory requirement for affordable housing in all future residential developments above identified size thresholds.
iii) (Ground 3) The judge erred in finding that the Inspector had adequately addressed Barratt's concerns regarding the EVA.
iv) (Ground 4) The judge erred in concluding that she had given adequate consideration to approaches other than that followed in the adopted policy.
"The 30 per cent has been produced on the basis of material which is not supported by the guidance and which ignores a highly material factor, namely the economic viability of the relevant target. True it is, as Mr Porten submits and as the Inspector himself pointed out, that individual applications will be dealt with on the basis of an assessment of economic viability. On the other hand, the target will be there. It is set out as what is to be achieved and it is what section 38(6) of the Act will require to be taken into account as the relevant planning policy. In my judgment, that, in the circumstances of this case, means that there is a legal flaw." (para 73)
i) The first sentence of paragraph b states that "all proposals" above the specified threshold "must make provision for sufficient housing to meet identified needs".ii) The last sentence of the policy states that "all but the smallest sites should contribute to the provision of affordable housing."
On their face, they submit, these requirements are incompatible with the evidence of the EVA which makes clear that in current conditions there is no realistic prospect of any affordable housing being provided on any sites, big or small.
i) The first sentence of (b) can fairly (and in my view most naturally) be read as introductory only, and qualified by the more detailed provision in the second sentence. Were it otherwise, it is difficult to see what useful guidance could be extracted from the words "sufficient...to meet identified needs", given that on any view the identified needs outstrip potential supply.ii) Similarly, the last sentence can fairly be read as subject to what precedes it. It expresses an aspiration, but is subject to negotiations at the time of the application to establish the amount (if any) appropriate for a particular site. (With regard to a possible query mentioned in argument, I believe it now to be common ground that the sentence refers to "the smallest sites" above, not below, the qualifying thresholds.)
i) In the introduction to the study, DTZ indicated that "through their experience of working developers", they had assumed a minimum IRR of 20% for small schemes (less than 50 units), and 23% for larger sites (more than 50 units).ii) However, in their table "Scenario 6" (the most optimistic) the assumed IRRs were reduced, without apparent explanation, to 15% and 18%, for smaller and larger schemes respectively.
iii) The commentary to this table noted that 30% affordable housing was deliverable across 67% of all the schemes, slightly below the 70% they recommend, but that this shortfall could be overcome by a variation in the "housing tenure splits".
iv) Later, in a section 7, headed "Policy implications", DTZ summarised the effects of the various examples. In what appears to be a reference to scenario 6, reflecting the "development process at the height of the market in late 2006", it was said that 25% affordable housing was viable in all areas, and 30% in "high to mid value areas which have high to mid densities". The assumed IRR requirement in this example was given as "18-20% - to reflect more stable market conditions".
v) It seems that it was this scenario which the inspector used as the foundation for her conclusion that, on the basis of market conditions when the Core Strategy was presented, the proposed targets could be achieved "in the majority of schemes" (para 3.3.25).
vi) Finally, I note, for completeness, Mr Fraser's suggestion that, by referring to a simple "majority" as the criterion, rather than the 70% of schemes recommended by DTZ, the inspector may have intended to allow a sufficient margin to deal with such possible discrepancies. He illustrated this by showing that, on the basis of the figures in Table Scenario 6, the majority of schemes would appear to qualify even at the higher IRRs originally assumed. Whether this is the correct interpretation can, at this stage, be no more than speculation.
Conclusion
LORD JUSTICE STANLEY BURNTON :
LADY JUSTICE ARDEN :